Every day of the WNBA season, our team of fantasy and betting experts breaks down every game on the slate, noting everything from injuries and roster changes to recent trends and more.
All odds provided by Caesars Sportsbook.
Here’s what to look for during Saturday’s slate:
Phoenix Mercury at the Las Vegas Aces
3 p.m. ET, Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas
Double: Ace (-7)
Money line: Mercury (+250), As (-320)
Total: 167 dots
Questionable: Skylar Diggins-Smith (illness)
Excluded: Riquna Williams (foot)
Fantasy needs to know: the Mercury has struggled so far this season and their 2-3 record reflects that. Phoenix ranks fourth in the league with an offensive rating of 102.7. On the other hand, the Mercurys have a defensive rating of 105.2, which is the 11th worst in the league.
Skylar Diggins-Smith leads the way for Phoenix with 30.8 fantasy points per game. After contracting an illness unrelated to COVID, she missed Thursday’s game against the Dallas Wings, and it’s unclear if she’ll be active tonight. If Diggins-Smith is inactive, Shey Peddy, available in 91% of leagues, becomes an excellent streamer. Tina Charles is averaging 15.0 PPG and 8.8 RPG this season, and she, along with Diana Taurasi, remains a must. Diamond DeShields and Brianna Turner remain solid options.
The Mercury will face an Aces team with a 5-1 record. Las Vegas ranks first in the league with an offensive rating of 108.6. Aces rank fourth with 35 RPGs and 21 APGs. Las Vegas ranks fifth with a defensive rating of 98. The Aces have won three straight and in each of the last three games they have scored at least 86 points. Las Vegas is a fantastic bargain and it starts with A’ja Wilson. It averages 15.5 PPG, 10.5 RPG, 2.5 APG, and 3.0 BPG. Jackie Young leads the Aces with 19.2 PPG. Kelsey Plum (31.5), Dearica Hamby (28.7) and Chelsea Gray (23.3) are also must-have starts based on their respective fantasy points-per-game averages. –Eric Moody
Best bet: Ace (-7)
This season, the Aces have won both games against the Mercurys. Las Vegas is 3-1 ATS in its last four meetings. The Aces are averaging 90.3 points per game and will be looking to increase the score against the Mercurys. Take Las Vegas against the spread. — Moody
Minnesota Lynx at Dallas Wings
8:00 p.m. ET, College Park Center, Arlington, TX
Double: Wings (-5)
Money line: Lynx (+175), Wings (-210)
Total: 164 dots
Excluded: Damiris Dantas (foot), Natalie Achonwa (hamstrings)
Fantasy needs to know: After one of their best offensive performances of the season against the Mercury on Thursday night, the Wings will look to keep that momentum going in Saturday’s game against the Lynx. Dallas was led by Arike Ogunbowale, whose five-game 35-point run is already tied with Liz Cambage for the fourth-most in league history. His consistency, especially at home, needs to improve. So far this season, the Wings are an intermediate team ranked sixth in net standings (1.3).
Ogunbowale and Gray both average 31 fantasy points per game and are go-to starters. If you’re looking for streamers, consider Kayla Thornton and Isabelle Harrison. Thornton, who is available in 77.1% of leagues, scored 20 or more fantasy points in every game this game. Meanwhile, Harrison averages 12.2 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 2.0 APG, and 0.8 SPG in 28.4 MPG. It is available in 52.7% of leagues.
Amid a 1-5 start, the Lynx are still trying to find their way. Minnesota lost to the Aces on Thursday, despite Aerial Powers’ 25 points and Sylvia Fowles’ 20 points and 11 rebounds. Jessica Shepard scored 14 points and grabbed 14 rebounds, a career high. The Lynx ranks 11th in 78 PPG, but ranks first with 37.7 RPG. Fowles has been superb so far this season, averaging 18.5 PPG and 10 RPG.
Shepard’s alignment percentage is steadily increasing. She averages 27 fantasy points per game and is still available in 27.3% of leagues. Powers and Kayla McBride are also staples. Since joining the Lynx from the Wings, Moriah Jefferson has played very well. She is available in 87.6% of leagues, scores a fantastic 24 points per game and is a solid streamer. — Moody
Best bet: Less than 164 points in total
Six of the Wings’ last seven home games have gone under. Playing against Dallas on the road, the Lynx have suffered five of their last seven games. Minnesota’s net rating is -8.9. They are ranked 11th in the league. — Moody